Why do career outcomes in organizations follow highly skewed distributions when the individual traits presumed to drive success — competence, effort, and social skill — are approximately normally distributed in the population? This agent-based model investigates the relative contributions of individual attributes versus random events (“luck”) to career outcomes in hierarchically structured organizations.

The model places 500 agents in a five-level pyramid-shaped organization over 80 six-month evaluation periods (40 simulated years). Each agent is characterized by four attributes drawn from normal distributions at initialization: competence, effort, social skill, and adaptability. In each period, agents may encounter stochastic career events (good or bad projects, supportive or poor managers, market booms or busts), which modify their performance and visibility scores. Promotion decisions are made competitively when vacancies arise at higher levels, using a weighted combination of recent performance, accumulated visibility, network position, and tenure. Social connections form and decay through a proximity-based model influenced by agents’ social skills.

The model extends the talent-versus-luck framework of Pluchino et al. (2018) in four substantive directions: (1) it embeds agents in a hierarchical organization with finite positions at each level, making promotion a zero-sum competition rather than an abstract encounter with random events; (2) it represents individual differences along four independent attribute dimensions rather than a single talent score; (3) it incorporates dynamic social network formation that mediates access to career-relevant opportunities; and (4) it implements the Peter Principle mechanism through which promoted agents must acquire competence appropriate to their new role.

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An agent-based model of how public space conditions shape the collective formation of local sports communities in high-mobility cities. A small gathering is already exercising in an abstract, systematically configurable public space; the model asks how strangers join them and whether the loose gathering consolidates into a stable community. Three conditions are manipulated, each acting through exactly one channel: spatial legibility governs whether a passer-by notices the activity, routine compatibility governs whether a member attends in a given week, and social anchor availability governs how much one episode of co-presence builds a tie. Ties carry a continuous strength with two thresholds, so that relationships of differing strength cross their thresholds at different condition levels. Because the model does not represent the origin of an activity, dissolution is irreversible and survival is a clean binary outcome. Across 32,790 runs in eight experiments the model yields two well separated thresholds along routine compatibility — one for survival, one for consolidation — with a wide band between them in which a space is used continuously but no community forms. The tie submodel is adapted from Jin, Girvan and Newman (2001) and verified against it by docking. Robustness is established against the seeded gathering, the pre-existing social network, a joint ±20 per cent perturbation of the behavioural parameters, and the parameters of the tie machinery.

An agent-based model of saving and dissaving behaviour under quasi-hyperbolic (β–δ) discounting. Building on the individual decision problem of Cao and Werning (2018), the model embeds present-biased agents in a Watts–Strogatz small-world network and adds three configurable mechanisms of social influence — information diffusion, peer comparison, and social-norm conformity — across five heterogeneous behavioural profiles (Planners, Moderates, Procrastinators, Inverse Procrastinators, and Impulsive agents).
Each profile’s saving policy is approximated by value-function iteration over a discretised wealth grid; the solved policies are cached and applied as agents interact over their network neighbourhoods. The model tests whether each social mechanism can alter the saving and wealth trajectories that present-biased agents would otherwise follow in isolation, and characterises the direction and size of each effect on median wealth, wealth inequality (Gini), and the incidence of severely depleted agents.
The deposit includes the core model (Model.py), an analysis and visualisation pipeline (analyze_results.py), a standalone ODD description (ODD.md), and pinned dependencies.

An agent-based microsimulation of insecticide-treated net (ITN) distribution and adoption in Kenya (2003–2024), integrating the Theory of Planned Behaviour, Rogers diffusion, Weibull net decay, and a GPS-based two-layer social network. 8,561 household agents calibrated via Approximate Bayesian Computation to six DHS/MIS survey waves, achieving 2.42 pp mean absolute error on Kenya-level ownership. The analysis chain supports mechanism counterfactuals and policy experiments on equity outcomes of ITN distribution strategies.

A dynamic identity model for misinformation in social networks, an agent-based model of social identity and misinformation dynamics.

I developed this model as a part of my master’s thesis, “Does social identity drive belief and persistence in online misinformation? An agent-based modelling approach” at University College Dublin, Ireland (2024-2025).

The purpose of this model is to further understand the dynamics of misinformation sharing as an expression of social identity. I introduce a framework to understand the influence of self-categorisation on misinformation persistence in social network. It integrates a social learning model with the Dynamic Identity Model for Agents (DIMA) using simple logic to simulate the social trade-offs driving misinformation and observe the effects on misinformation spread.

This Agent-Based Model is designed to simulate how similarity-based partner selection (homophily) shapes the formation of co-offending networks and the diffusion of skills within those networks. Its purpose is to isolate and test the effects of offenders’ preference for similar partners on network structure and information flow, under controlled conditions.

In the model, offenders are represented as agents with an individual attribute and a set of skills. At each time step, agents attempt to select partners based on similarity preference. When two agents mutually select each other, they commit a co-offense, forming a tie and exchanging a skill. The model tracks the evolution of network properties (e.g., density, clustering, and tie strength) as well as the spread of skills over time.

This simple and theoretical model does not aim to produce precise empirical predictions but rather to generate insights and test hypotheses about the trade-off between partnership stability and information diffusion. It provides a flexible framework for exploring how changes in partner selection preferences may lead to differences in criminal network dynamics. Although the model was developed to simulate offenders’ interactions, in principle, it could be applied to other social processes involving social learning and skills exchange.

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This model examines language dynamics within a social network using simulation techniques to represent the interplay of language adoption, social influence, economic incentives, and language policies. The agent-based model (ABM) focuses on interactions between agents endowed with specific linguistic attributes, who engage in communication based on predefined rules. A key feature of our model is the incorporation of network analysis, structuring agent relationships as a dynamic network and leveraging network metrics to capture the evolving inter-agent connections over time. This integrative approach provides nuanced insights into emergent behaviors and system dynamics, offering an analytical framework that extends beyond traditional modeling approaches. By combining agent-based modeling with network analysis, the model sheds light on the underlying mechanisms governing complex language systems and can be effectively paired with sociolinguistic observational data.

The model represents urban commuters’ transport mode choices among cars, public transit, and motorcycles—a mode highly prevalent in developing countries. Using an agent-based modeling approach, it simulates transport dynamics and serves as a testbed for evaluating policies aimed at improving mobility.

The model simulates an ecosystem of human agents who decide, at each time step, which mode of transportation to use for commuting to work. Their decision is based on a combination of personal satisfaction with their most recent journey—evaluated across a vector of individual needs—the information they crowdsource from their social network, and their personal uncertainty regarding trying new transport options.

Agents are assigned demographic attributes such as sex, age, and income level, and are distributed across city neighborhoods according to their socioeconomic status. To represent social influence in decision-making, agents are connected via a scale-free social network topology, where connections are more likely among agents within the same socioeconomic group, reflecting the tendency of individuals to form social ties with similar others.

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The agent-based simulation of innovation diffusion is based on the idea of the Bass model (1969).

The adoption of an agent is driven two parameters: its innovativess p and its prospensity to conform with others. The model is designed for a computational experiment building up on the following four model variations:

(i) the agent population it fully connected and all agents share the same parameter values for p and q
(ii) the agent population it fully connected and agents are heterogeneous, i.e. individual parameter values are drawn from a normal distribution
(iii) the agents population is embeded in a social network and all agents share the same parameter values for p and q
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We provide a theory-grounded, socio-geographic agent-based model to present a possible explanation for human movement in the Adriatic region within the Cetina phenomenon.

Focusing on ideas of social capital theory from Piere Bordieu (1986), we implement agent mobility in an abstract geography based on cultural capital (prestige) and social capital (social position). Agents hold myopic representations of social (Schaff, 2016) and geographical networks and decide in a heuristic way on moving (and where) or staying.

The model is implemented in a fork of the Laboratory for Simulation Development (LSD), appended with GIS capabilities (Pereira et. al. 2020).